Case study 3: French inflation in 1790s
Introduction
Governments have an insatiable
appetite for the wealth of their subjects. When governments find it impossible
to continue raising taxes or borrowing funds, they will invariably turn to
printing paper money to finance their growing expenditures. The resulting
inflations have often undermined the social fabric, ruined the economy, and
sometimes brought revolution and tyranny in their wake. The political economy
of the French Revolution is a tragic example of this.
Causes
Before the revolution of 1789, royal
France was a textbook example of mercantilism. Nothing was produced or sold,
imported or exported, without government approval and regulation.
While the French king’s government
regulated economic affairs, the royal court consumed the national wealth. Louis
XVI’s personal military guard numbered 9,050 soldiers; his civilian household
numbered around 4,000—30 servants were required to serve the king his dinner,
four of whom had the task of filling his glass with water or wine. He also had
at his service 128 musicians, 75 religious officials, 48 doctors, and 198
persons to care for his body.
The nobility and the clergy were
mostly exempt from paying taxes, so the tax burden fell on the “lower classes.”
When Louis XVI assumed the throne in 1774, government expenditures were 399.2
million livres, with tax receipts only about 372 million livres, leaving a
deficit of 27.2 million livres, or about 7 percent of spending. Loans and
monetary expansion that year and in future years made up the difference.
In an attempt to put the government’s
finances in order, in July 1774 the king appointed a brilliant economist,
Anne-Robert-Jacques Turgot, to serve as finance minister. Turgot did all in his
power to curb government spending and regulation. But every proposed reform
increased the opposition from privileged groups, and the king finally dismissed
him in May 1776.
It was the chaos of the king’s
finances that finally resulted in the Estates-General’s being called into
session in early 1789, followed by the beginning of the French Revolution with
the fall of the Bastille in Paris in July 1789. But the new revolutionary
authorities were as extravagant in their spending as the king. Vast amounts
were spent on public works to create jobs, and 17 million livres were given to
the people of Paris in food subsidies.
On March 17, 1790, the revolutionary
National Assembly voted to issue a new paper currency called the assignat, and
in April, 400 million were put into circulation. Short of funds, the government
issued another 800 million at the end of the summer. By late 1791, 1.5 billion
assignats were circulating and purchasing power had decreased 14 percent. In
August 1793 the number of assignats had increased to almost 4.1 billion, its
value having depreciated 60 percent. In November 1795 the assignats numbered
19.7 billion, and by then its purchasing power had decreased 99 percent since
first issued. In five years the money of revolutionary France had become worth
less than the paper it was printed on.
Effect
The effects of this monetary collapse
were fantastic. A huge debtor class was created with a vested interest in the
inflation because depreciating assignats meant debtors repaid in increasingly
worthless money. Others had speculated in land, often former Church properties
the government had seized and sold off, and their fortunes were now tied to
inflationary rises in land values. With money more worthless each day,
pleasures of the moment took precedence over long-term planning and investment.
Goods were hoarded—and thus became
scarcer—because sellers expected higher prices tomorrow. Soap became so scarce
that Parisian washerwomen demanded that any sellers who refused to sell their
product for assignats should be put to death. In February 1793, mobs in Paris
attacked more than 200 stores, looting everything from bread and coffee to
sugar and clothing.
On whom did the burden of the
inflation mostly fall? The poorest. Financiers, merchants, and commodity
speculators who normally participated in international trade often could
protect themselves. They accumulated gold and silver and sent it abroad for
safekeeping; they also invested in art and precious jewelry. Their speculative
expertise enabled many of them to stay ahead of the inflation and to profit
from currency fluctuations. The working class and the poor in general had
neither the expertise nor the means to protect the little they had. They were
the ones who ended up holding the billions of worthless assignats.
Measures
Finally, on December 22, 1795, the
government decreed that the printing of the assignats should stop. Gold and
silver transactions were permitted again after having been banned and were
recognized as legally binding. On February 18, 1796, at 9 o’clock in the
morning, the printing presses, plates, and paper used to make assignats were
taken to the Place Vendôme and before a huge crowd of Parisians were broken and
burned.
Price Controls Follow
As the inflation grew worse, an outcry
was heard from “the people” that prices must be prevented from rising. On May
4, 1793, the National Assembly imposed price controls on grain and specified
that it could only be sold in public markets under the watchful eye of state
inspectors, who were also given the authority to break into merchants’ private
homes and confiscate hoarded grain and flour. Destruction of commodities under
government regulation was made a capital offense.
没有评论:
发表评论